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Articles Posted in Thinking

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Contradictions between expressed and revealed preferences

As speakers at conferences, commentators quoted in articles, and respondents to surveys, law department lawyers convey their preferences. Those expressed preferences, however, may not translate into practice. Hypocrisy is too strong a term, but often there is a failure to walk the talk, a gap between espoused values and acted…

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Three tips to make better decisions: alternatives, surrogate arguers, and goal of decision

An excellent article, Dan P. Lovallo and Olivier Sibony, ‘”Distortions and deceptions in strategic decisions,” McKinsey Quarterly, 2006, No. 1 at 21, presents among its many ideas three that I want to mark (See my post of Jan. 17, 2006 for other points from this article.). A general counsel might…

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Observations, trends, predictions and the fallacy of induction

Observations. This blog has hundreds of observations – “This law department does or did something.” The department observed could be one-of-a-kind, or it could be among the lemmings. Trends. Multiple observations of a similar activity leads to talk of a trend. The word trend leaves the impression of a prediction:…

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Neuro-economics sparks possible explanations of decision-making and risk taking

The emerging field of neuro-economics, not more than ten years old, studies the activity of neurons in the brain, polygraph-like sensors, and eye movements to understand better how humans think. For example, according to the NY Times, April 20, 2006 at C3 researchers have determined that “when people think about…