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Articles Posted in Thinking

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Combine statistical data with experienced analysis for the best risk predictions

An article in the Sloan Mgt. Rev., Fall 2010 at 51, contrasts what it calls the “frequentist” method for risk management (also called “objectivist”) with the Bayesian method (also called “subjectivist”). Frequentists predict risks based on probabilities obtained from repetitive historical data. For example, in a legal department an objectivist…

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Picture the advantages of graphics to convey complexity, ironically explained with text

A thoughtful article in Wired, Oct. 2010 at 66, praises drawing pictures (or exploiting other forms of visualization) to convey complex ideas – exactly the sort that in-house counsel often deal with when multiple considerations bear on a takeover, a tax restructuring, a licensing decision, or an investment in software.…

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To improve decisions, complement a capable lawyer with decisional software

MIT Sloan Mg. Rev., Summer 2010 at 73, extols the benefits that accrue when companies match an experienced person with software that helps their decision making. “Evidence-based decision making,” as the article refers to it, can contribute even in unstructured decision contexts. The day will come when in-house counsel routinely…

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For lawyers, brains and creativity show no statistical correlation

Richard Ogle, Smart World: Breakthrough Creativity and the New Science of Ideas (Harv. Bus. School 2007) at 15, cites research that surprises me. “Beyond the level of 115 [IQ], there is no observable correlation between intelligence and creativity.” I have assumed that smarter people, whatever being smart entails, are more…

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More analysis of the 120 best posts on this blog from May 2009 — May 2010: thinking

Posts on outside counsel predominate but a chunk of the selected posts have to do with thinking. (Email me rees@reesmorrison.com if you would like the entire 28-page collection.) That a dozen of the topics cluster that way set me thinking. First, the most core of core competencies for in-house lawyers…